The 70% Rule Formula
Max Purchase Price = (ARV × 70%) - Repairs
This formula tells you the most you should pay for a flip property. Anything above this price cuts into your profit margin and increases risk.
What Does the 30% Cover?
The 70% multiplier leaves 30% of ARV for all your costs and profit. Here's the typical breakdown:
The 30% Breakdown
- Profit margin: 10-15%
- Selling costs: 6-10% (agent commissions, closing costs)
- Holding costs: 2-5% (loan payments, taxes, insurance, utilities)
- Buying costs: 1-3% (closing costs, inspections)
- Buffer: Whatever's left for surprises
70% Rule Example
Let's say you find a property:
- ARV (After Repair Value): $300,000
- Repair estimate: $50,000
Max Price = ($300,000 × 0.70) - $50,000
Max Price = $210,000 - $50,000
Max Price = $160,000
If the seller wants $175,000, the deal doesn't work at 70%. You'd need to negotiate lower or walk away.
When to Use Different Percentages
Use 65% When...
- You're new and want extra cushion
- The market is uncertain or declining
- Repair estimates are rough (haven't gotten contractor bids)
- The property has potential hidden issues
- Lower-priced markets where dollar margins are thin
Use 70% When...
- Standard deals in stable markets
- You have solid contractor estimates
- You know the neighborhood well
- Mid-priced properties ($150k-$400k ARV)
Use 75% When...
- You're very experienced and efficient
- Hot market with quick sales
- Higher-priced properties where 25% still = big profit
- Light rehabs with predictable costs
- You're using private money with low carrying costs
70% Rule Limitations
The 70% rule is a quick filter, not a comprehensive analysis. It doesn't account for:
- Time: A 6-month project needs more cushion than a 3-month flip
- Financing costs: Hard money at 12% eats into margins
- Market-specific costs: Transfer taxes, HOA fees, etc.
- Your specific overhead: Team, office, marketing
Use the 70% rule for quick screening, then do detailed analysis with a deal analyzer before making offers.
70% Rule for Wholesalers
If you're wholesaling, you need to leave room for your buyer (the flipper) AND your assignment fee. Your formula becomes:
Wholesaler Max = (ARV × 70%) - Repairs - Assignment Fee
If the flipper's max is $160,000 and you want a $10,000 assignment fee, your max purchase price is $150,000.